Stony Brook
Men - Women
2011 - 2012 - 2013
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
220  Olivia Burne JR 20:25
361  Cleo Boyd FR 20:43
475  Christina Melian FR 20:55
533  Lorraine McCarthy JR 21:01
728  Kristal Conklin SR 21:15
802  Annie Keown JR 21:20
829  Tara Peck FR 21:22
1,478  Mary O Connor SR 22:06
2,239  Robin Lynn JR 22:55
2,614  Kathleen McCurdy FR 23:24
2,847  Raven Dorsey FR 23:44
2,979  Kate Pouder SO 23:57
National Rank #74 of 339
Northeast Region Rank #12 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.3%
Top 10 in Regional 25.2%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Olivia Burne Cleo Boyd Christina Melian Lorraine McCarthy Kristal Conklin Annie Keown Tara Peck Mary O Connor Robin Lynn Kathleen McCurdy Raven Dorsey
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 09/28 995 20:18 20:58 21:05 20:54 21:22 23:26 23:46
Princeton Invitational (I) 10/13 1098 20:34 21:15 21:05 21:11 22:36 23:43
American East Championships 10/27 962 20:36 20:37 20:55 20:50 21:06 21:24 22:10 22:54 23:24
Northeast Region Championships 11/09 974 20:15 20:52 20:54 20:56 21:54 22:13 22:02





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 29.1 681 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Region Championship 100% 11.3 309 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.5 3.4 6.6 12.9 25.4 28.0 15.1 6.1 0.2 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Burne 7.0% 126.2
Cleo Boyd 0.4% 156.0
Christina Melian 0.2% 181.0
Lorraine McCarthy 0.1% 198.5
Kristal Conklin 0.1% 221.5
Annie Keown 0.1% 230.5
Tara Peck 0.1% 227.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Olivia Burne 33.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.5 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.6 2.9 3.1
Cleo Boyd 53.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5
Christina Melian 65.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
Lorraine McCarthy 71.5 0.0
Kristal Conklin 87.5
Annie Keown 92.7
Tara Peck 95.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.0% 100.0% 0.0 0.0 4
5 0.3% 30.8% 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 5
6 0.6% 0.6 6
7 1.5% 1.3% 0.0 1.5 0.0 7
8 3.4% 0.6% 0.0 3.4 0.0 8
9 6.6% 6.6 9
10 12.9% 12.9 10
11 25.4% 25.4 11
12 28.0% 28.0 12
13 15.1% 15.1 13
14 6.1% 6.1 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Harvard 2.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0